Europe/Russia Week 2-4 Outlook: Persistent Northwest Europe to Western Russia cool/wet upper trough well into May.

Chart of the day: Europe drought analysis. Discussion: The latest Europe Drought Observatory (EDO) analysis of current drought conditions indicates sparse risk areas. The Baltic region is trending less dry. Crop areas are certainly fine for springtime across most of Europe. Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid April 26-May 2, 2021: Strong chilly Northwest upper trough/wet across…

U.S. Week 2-4 Outlook: Wet next week followed by active Mid-south severe weather pattern.

Charts of the day: Evaporative Demand Drought Index update. Discussion: Utilizing the new NOAA Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI) yields distinctive drought regions in northern California, the Southwest U.S., northern Great Plains, Ohio Valley/Great Lakes region, southern Alabama and Florida. The 90-day EDDI trend is DRIER across the Southwest and much of the northern states.…

Weekly ENSO Diagnostics Discussion

Highlight: Very weak La Nina appears to have fade. Discussion: Last week the Nino SSTA regions leaned slightly in the direction of further weakening of what remains of La Nina (Fig. 1). In fact, the Nino34 SSTA shifted warmer than the La Nina threshold of -0.5C. In the subsurface the shallow layer of anomalous cool…