Chart of the day: U.S. gas population weight HDD anomaly forecast/verification. Discussion: The past 4 weeks have produced below normal heating demand across the U.S. However, the Nov. 19-25 forecast indicates slightly above normal national heating demand. The first half of December is forecast to produce below normal national heating demand ALTHOUGH most forecast models…
Highlight: Doubt warm model runs West (and eastward). Colder solutions correct as -NAO prevails. Climate Signals Chart Days 6-10 Days 11-15 Arctic Oscillation Negative Weak Negative North Atlantic Oscillation Strong Negative Negative Pacific North America Positive Neutral West Pacific Oscillation Weak Negative Weak Negative East Pacific Oscillation Weak Positive Weak Positive Madden Julian Oscillation…
The updated season 1-3 ahead climate forecast for North America valid through summer 2022 is issued.
Highlight: -NAO sticks around for a while as East goes cold and stays that way. Western warmth may be over-forecast (by models). Climate Signals Chart Days 6-10 Days 11-15 Arctic Oscillation Strong Negative Negative North Atlantic Oscillation Strong Negative Negative Pacific North America Weak Positive Weak Positive West Pacific Oscillation Weak Negative Neutral East…
Highlight: More heavy rain events East next 10 days. Chart of the day: Heavy rains Southeast Australia on Sunday. Discussion: ECM indicates a heavy rainfall episode in Southeast Australia focused on Sunday when several (or more) in. of rain may occur. Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid November 21-27, 2021: Another wet weather event on the East…
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